1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.005 1.04
## LDevsum 1.002 1.03
## dh0 1.190 1.68
## dh1 1.137 1.49
## dh2 1.039 1.09
## dl0 1.195 1.72
## dl1 1.062 1.08
## dl2 1.043 1.11
## dl3 0.997 1.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.18
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1221.44081 | 22086.7640 |
| DIC3 | 1159.61960 | 22148.1564 |
| PWAIC | 44.35335 | 240.4214 |
| WAIC | 1187.60308 | 22170.2218 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.13 1.46
## LDevsum 1.11 1.42
## dh0 3.95 8.42
## dh1 14.95 33.82
## dh2 15.70 49.60
## dl0 1.80 3.31
## dl1 1.05 1.08
## dl2 1.57 2.96
## dl3 1.28 1.89
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 11.9
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1385.96801 |
| DIC3 | 1247.70411 |
| PWAIC | 90.14037 |
| WAIC | 1315.56019 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 1.25 1.82
## LDevsum 1.11 1.42
## dl0 1.80 3.31
## dl1 1.05 1.08
## dl2 1.57 2.96
## dl3 1.28 1.89
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.51
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22221.4939 |
| DIC3 | 22238.8382 |
| PWAIC | 298.0137 |
| WAIC | 22271.3988 |